Statistical Modelling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan

1. Person: Chu, Lan-Fen
Weitere Personen: McAleer, Michael; Wang, Szu-Hua
Format: Online-Artikel
Sprache: English
Veröffentlicht: Tinbergen Institute 2012
Serien: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper
Schlagworte: Wetter
Statistische Verteilung
Statistical distribution
Online Zugang:
Tags: Hinzufügen
Keine Tags. Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
Details: This paper has two primary purposes. First, we fit the annual maximum daily rainfall data for 6 rainfall stations, both with stationary and non-stationary generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions for the periods 1911-2010 and 1960-2010 in Taiwan, and detect the changes between the two phases for extreme rainfall. The non-stationary model means that the location parameter in the GEV distribution is a linear function of time to detect temporal trends in maximum rainfall. Second, we compute the future behavior of stationary models for the return levels of 10, 20, 50 and 100-years based on the period 1960-2010. In addition, the 95% confidence intervals of the return levels are provided. This is the first investigation to use generalized extreme value distributions to model extreme rainfall in Taiwan.

Ähnliche Einträge

Keine ähnlichen Titel gefunden

Privacy Notice Ask a Librarian New Acquisitions