Forbidden Fruit: Counterfactuals and International Relations

4 line illus. 14 tables., Princeton;348;152;229... Ausführliche Beschreibung

1. Person: Lebow, Richard Ned
Format: Buch
Sprache: English
Veröffentlicht: Princeton University Press 2010
Beschreibung: Could World War I have been averted if Franz Ferdinand and his wife hadn't been murdered by Serbian nationalists in 1914? What if Ronald Reagan had been killed by Hinckley's bullet? Would the Cold War have ended as it did? In Forbidden Fruit, Richard Ned Lebow develops protocols for conducting robust counterfactual thought experiments and uses them to probe the causes and contingency of transformative international developments like World War I and the end of the Cold War. He uses experiments, surveys, and a short story to explore why policymakers, historians, and international relations scholars are so resistant to the contingency and indeterminism inherent in open-ended, nonlinear systems. Most controversially, Lebow argues that the difference between counterfactual and so-called factual arguments is misleading, as both can be evidence-rich and logically persuasive. A must-read for social scientists, Forbidden Fruit also examines the binary between fact and fiction and the use of counterfactuals in fictional works like Philip Roth's The Plot Against America to understand complex causation and its implications for who we are and what we think makes the social world work.
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id
VUB9780691132891
isbn
9780691132891
recordtype
vub
institution
MPG
collection
VUB
language
English
format
Book
author
Lebow, Richard Ned
spellingShingle
Lebow, Richard Ned
Forbidden Fruit;Counterfactuals and International Relations

author-letter
Lebow, Richard Ned
title
Forbidden Fruit;Counterfactuals and International Relations
title_short
Forbidden Fruit;Counterfactuals and International Relations
title_full
Forbidden Fruit;Counterfactuals and International Relations
title_fullStr
Forbidden Fruit;Counterfactuals and International Relations
title_full_unstemmed
Forbidden Fruit;Counterfactuals and International Relations
title_sort
Forbidden Fruit;Counterfactuals and International Relations
title_sub
Counterfactuals and International Relations
publisher
Princeton University Press
publishDate
2010
description
4 line illus. 14 tables., Princeton;348;152;229
thumbnail
http://vub.de/cover/data/isbn%3A9780691132891/medium/true/de/vub/cover.jpg
physical
Could World War I have been averted if Franz Ferdinand and his wife hadn't been murdered by Serbian nationalists in 1914? What if Ronald Reagan had been killed by Hinckley's bullet? Would the Cold War have ended as it did? In Forbidden Fruit, Richard Ned Lebow develops protocols for conducting robust counterfactual thought experiments and uses them to probe the causes and contingency of transformative international developments like World War I and the end of the Cold War. He uses experiments, surveys, and a short story to explore why policymakers, historians, and international relations scholars are so resistant to the contingency and indeterminism inherent in open-ended, nonlinear systems. Most controversially, Lebow argues that the difference between counterfactual and so-called factual arguments is misleading, as both can be evidence-rich and logically persuasive. A must-read for social scientists, Forbidden Fruit also examines the binary between fact and fiction and the use of counterfactuals in fictional works like Philip Roth's The Plot Against America to understand complex causation and its implications for who we are and what we think makes the social world work.
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up_date
2019-09-15T02:54:24.675Z
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