Incorporating the Effects of Socioeconomic Uncertainty into Priority Setting for Conservation Investment

Uncertainty in the implementation and outcomes of conservation actions that is not accounted for leaves conservation plans vulnerable to potential changes in future conditions. We used a decision-theoretic approach to investigate the effects of two types of investment uncertainty on the optimal allo...cation of global conservation resources for land acquisition in the Mediterranean Basin. We considered uncertainty about (1) whether investment will continue and (2) whether the acquired biodiversity assets are secure, which we termed transaction uncertainty and performance uncertainty, respectively. We also developed and tested the robustness of different rules of thumb for guiding the allocation of conservation resources when these sources of uncertainty exist. In the presence of uncertainty in future investment ability (transaction uncertainty), the optimal strategy was opportunistic, meaning the investment priority should be to act where uncertainty is highest while investment remains possible. When there was a probability that investments would fail (performance uncertainty), the optimal solution became a complex trade-off between the immediate biodiversity benefits of acting in a region and the perceived longevity of the investment. In general, regions were prioritized for invest Ausführliche Beschreibung Beschreibung ausblenden

1. Person:	Possingham, Hugh P. verfasserin
Quelle:	in Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology Vol. 21, No. 6 (2007), p. 1463-1474 Weitere Artikel
Format:	Online-Artikel
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	2007
Beschreibung:	Online-Ressource
Schlagworte:	research-article Biodiversity Hotspots Conservation Planning Conservation Resource Allocation Decision Theory Investment Risk Mediterranean Basin Optimization Socioeconomic Uncertainty Systematic Conservation Assessment
Online Zugang:	Volltext
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Anmerkung:	Copyright: Copyright 2007 Society for Conservation Biology